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Rank #104 of 143 Average ⚠ SUBLEASED 43/100

Next Door StoreStore #2483 · Next Door Store

158 N Lincoln Ave, Lakeview, MI

Annual Base Rent$34,909
Rent $/SF$21.08
Building SF1,656
Land (ac)0.15
Remaining Term3.0 yrs
StatusLong-Term
Pre G&A CFC-0.06x

Lease Abstract

Tenant / d/b/aNext Door Store
GuarantorFas Mart (GPM Investments)
Lease commencementOct 09, 2007
Lease expirationJun 30, 2029
Remaining term3.0 yrs
Lease term (months)
Annual base rent$34,909
Base rent $/SF$21.08
Rent at expiration
Expiration rent $/SF
Renewal options1/2
Notice dateDec 02, 2028
Year built1960
Building SF1,656
Land area (acres)0.15
Pre G&A CFC-0.06x (2024)
Lease statusSUBLEASED
Operating tenant158 N Lincoln Ave

Location Score Breakdown 43/100

AADT Traffic 5/15
Highway Proximity 5/10
Gas Competition 1mi 12/15
3mi Population 2/12
3mi HH Income 10/12
Pop Density 3mi 1/8
County Growth 6/7
County Unemp. 6/7
Dollar Stores 6/6
Daytime Jobs 3mi 1/10
EV Density Pen. 0/0
Thin Market Pen. -10/0

Trade-Area Demographics

Metric1 mi3 mi5 mi
Population03,3083,308
Households01,2441,244
Pop. density (/sq mi)011742
Avg HH income$73,750$73,750
Poverty rate13.8%13.8%
Bachelor's+ 14.7%14.7%
Median home value$162,200$162,200
Median rent$754$754
Median age3838
Owner-occupied82.6%82.6%

Site & Market Detail

Traffic (AADT at site)7,745
Daytime jobs (3 mi)956
Daytime jobs (1 mi)412
Gas competitors (0.5 mi)0
Gas competitors (1 mi)1
Dollar stores (0.5 mi)0
Highway distance (mi)0.97
EV stations (5 mi)0
CountyMontcalm County
County pop. growth4.0%
County unemployment5.0%
Walk score40
Bike score35
FEMA flood zoneX

Investment Highlights

  • Zero competing gas stations within 0.5 miles provides the tenant with localized fuel capture exclusivity in an otherwise underdense trade area.
  • The lease guarantor, GPM Investments under ARKO Corp. (Nasdaq: ARKO), operates approximately 3,500 convenience locations across 34 states, offering a publicly traded, SEC-reporting credit backstop.
  • Montcalm County posted 4.0 percent population growth from 2020 to 2024, indicating modest but positive demographic trajectory supporting baseline demand.

Key Risks

  • With only 3,308 residents within five miles and AADT of just 7,745 vehicles per day, the site's demand fundamentals are materially weak relative to institutional convenience-store underwriting standards.
  • The lease expires June 30, 2029, leaving only 3.0 years of term and creating rollover and re-leasing risk in a rural market with limited alternative tenant demand.
  • The building was constructed in 1960, making it approximately 65 years old, which elevates the probability of significant capital expenditure requirements for environmental systems, canopy, and building infrastructure.

Executive Summary

This net lease convenience store and gas station at 158 N Lincoln Ave, Lakeview, MI is a short-duration, single-tenant asset leased to Next Door Store (Fas Mart / GPM Investments) through June 30, 2029, offering roughly 3.0 years of remaining term. The site earned a location grade of 43 out of 100 (Average), reflecting modest traffic counts, thin population density, and a rural trade area that limits repositioning upside. The investment thesis rests primarily on the credit quality of the guarantor rather than on location fundamentals.

Demographics

The functional trade area is materially thin, with only 3,308 residents within both the 3-mile and 5-mile rings, indicating the population base does not deepen meaningfully beyond the immediate vicinity. Average household income of $73,750 and an 82.6 percent owner-occupancy rate suggest a stable, if modest, resident base, while a 13.8 percent poverty rate and only 14.7 percent bachelor attainment reflect limited economic diversity. These metrics are consistent with a small rural Michigan market offering minimal organic demand growth.

Market Context

Montcalm County carries a 5.0 percent unemployment rate and supports only 1,050 total business establishments and 13,604 employees, underscoring the limited commercial density surrounding this asset. County population grew 4.0 percent from 2020 to 2024, providing a mild positive signal, though the market's rural character constrains meaningful rent growth or re-tenanting optionality at lease expiration.

Location Quality

Site-level traffic of 7,745 AADT is below average for a convenience and fuel operator, and the nearest major road is nearly one mile away, reducing impulse-driven capture. A Walk Score of 40 and Bike Score of 35 confirm full auto dependency, and the presence of only four nearby restaurants and four retail businesses within one mile reflects a thin commercial corridor with limited co-tenancy benefit.

Risk Factors

No FEMA flood exposure is present, as the site is classified Zone X. State-level crime data was not available, limiting a full public-safety assessment. The 1960 construction year introduces potential deferred capital expenditure risk given the building's age of approximately 65 years.

Investment Positioning

With 3.0 years remaining, a buyer faces near-term rollover risk with a notice deadline of December 2, 2028 and one renewal option remaining. At $34,909 annual base rent ($21.08 per square foot), the rent level is modest, and no escalation data is provided. GPM Investments, a subsidiary of Nasdaq-listed ARKO Corp., the sixth-largest U.S. convenience operator with roughly 3,500 sites, provides institutional-grade credit support that partially offsets site-level concerns. However, the thin location metrics may reduce GPM's motivation to exercise renewal, compressing exit cap rate options for a future buyer.

Full institutional offering memorandum with all 48 briefs, maps, and tax analysis.

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