Fortis Capital Solutions GPM Disposition PortfolioLocation Intelligence & Lease Summary
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Rank #78 of 143 Average 53/100

MarathonStore #2494 · Marathon

2482 Tittabawassee Rd, Saginaw, MI

Annual Base Rent$95,207
Rent $/SF$30.21
Building SF3,152
Land (ac)0.66
Remaining Term0.8 yrs
StatusNear-Term Rollover
Pre G&A CFC3.43x

Lease Abstract

Tenant / d/b/aMarathon
GuarantorFas Mart (GPM Investments)
Lease commencementOct 09, 2007
Lease expirationMar 31, 2027
Remaining term0.8 yrs
Lease term (months)
Annual base rent$95,207
Base rent $/SF$30.21
Rent at expiration
Expiration rent $/SF
Renewal options1/2
Notice dateSep 02, 2026
Year built1980
Building SF3,152
Land area (acres)0.66
Pre G&A CFC3.43x (2024)
Lease statusActive

Location Score Breakdown 53/100

AADT Traffic 2/15
Highway Proximity 8/10
Gas Competition 1mi 2/15
3mi Population 10/12
3mi HH Income 10/12
Pop Density 3mi 4/8
County Growth 2/7
County Unemp. 4/7
Dollar Stores 6/6
Daytime Jobs 3mi 6/10
EV Density Pen. 0/0
Thin Market Pen. 0/0

Trade-Area Demographics

Metric1 mi3 mi5 mi
Population027,34878,894
Households010,90232,483
Pop. density (/sq mi)09671,005
Avg HH income$74,439$76,409
Poverty rate27.5%23.1%
Bachelor's+ 24.3%24.9%
Median home value$126,273$118,006
Median rent$820$935
Median age3538
Owner-occupied62.6%66.8%

Site & Market Detail

Traffic (AADT at site)3,514
Daytime jobs (3 mi)21,944
Daytime jobs (1 mi)8,791
Gas competitors (0.5 mi)2
Gas competitors (1 mi)5
Dollar stores (0.5 mi)0
Highway distance (mi)0.48
EV stations (5 mi)19
CountySaginaw County
County pop. growth-1.1%
County unemployment6.2%
Walk score37
Bike score52
FEMA flood zoneX

Investment Highlights

  • Guarantor credit is institutional: ARKO Corp. operates approximately 3,500 locations across 34 states and reports publicly under SEC oversight.
  • Daytime employment density supports convenience demand, with 8,791 workers within one mile and 21,944 within three miles.
  • Flood risk is minimal, with a FEMA Zone X designation eliminating a significant environmental liability concern.

Key Risks

  • Lease term is critically short at 0.8 years, exposing a buyer to immediate re-leasing or vacancy risk in a market with 6.2% unemployment and population decline.
  • Traffic volume of 3,514 AADT is materially below the threshold typically required for a viable gas station-convenience operation, undermining site productivity.
  • A 27.5% poverty rate within 3 miles and declining county population compress both rent growth and alternative-use optionality in a re-leasing scenario.

Executive Summary

This Marathon-branded convenience store operated by GPM Investments (Fas Mart) sits at 2482 Tittabawassee Road in Saginaw, Michigan, a mid-size Midwestern metro with measurable population and economic headwinds. The site scores 53 out of 100 on location grade, reflecting average fundamentals. With only 0.8 years of remaining lease term, the investment thesis hinges almost entirely on rollover and renewal resolution rather than in-place income durability.

Demographics

The 3-mile trade area holds 27,348 residents at a modest density of 967 per square mile, with average household income of $74,439 and a poverty rate of 27.5%, indicating a value-oriented consumer base with limited disposable income. The 5-mile population expands to 78,894 but the income profile remains essentially flat at $76,409. Zero population recorded within one mile suggests an industrial or commercial land-use pattern immediately surrounding the site.

Market Context

Saginaw County is a declining metro with population contracting 1.1% from 2020 to 2024 and unemployment running at 6.2%, above the national average. The local retail and food-service base is modestly sized at 754 and 375 establishments respectively, indicating limited economic dynamism. These macro conditions suppress rent growth prospects and reduce the pool of alternative tenants in a re-leasing scenario.

Location Quality

AADT of 3,514 vehicles per day is low for a gas station-convenience store format, which typically requires substantially higher traffic to generate competitive fuel and in-store volumes. Walk Score of 37 confirms car-dependency, yet 5 competing gas stations within one mile compress margin potential. Proximity to 8,791 daytime workers within one mile is a partial offset but does not fully compensate for thin traffic counts.

Risk Factors

Flood zone designation is Zone X, presenting minimal environmental risk. Crime data was unavailable for direct benchmarking. With 19 EV charging stations within 5 miles, the site faces gradual but measurable long-term fuel demand erosion consistent with broader transportation trends.

Investment Positioning

The lease expires March 31, 2027, leaving a buyer with roughly ten months of contractual income at $95,207 annually before facing immediate rollover risk. One renewal option remains, with a notice deadline of September 2026, meaning a buyer transacting today must move quickly to engage GPM on renewal intentions. GPM Investments is a subsidiary of publicly traded ARKO Corp., the sixth-largest U.S. c-store operator, providing institutional-grade credit quality, though ARKO has faced margin pressure in a competitive fuel environment. Buyers should price renewal probability conservatively given weak site traffic and a challenged local market.

Full institutional offering memorandum with all 48 briefs, maps, and tax analysis.

Download full OM (PDF)
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